血清IL-18、CysC及尿液NGAL、KIM-1预测妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险的价值
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海南现代妇女儿童医院妇产科

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海南省自然科学基金资助项目(2020937)


Value of serum IL-18, CysC, urine NGAL and KIM-1 in predicting the risk of renal injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨血清白细胞介素-18(IL-18)、胱抑素C(CysC)及尿液中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白(NGAL)、肾损伤分子-1(KIM-1)预测妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险的价值。方法 回顾性分析2022年2月~2023年2月在我院就诊的96例妊娠期高血压患者的临床资料,根据患者有无肾损伤分为两组,分别为肾损伤组(n=40)和非肾损伤组(n=56)。比较两组患者的临床资料,比较两组患者血清IL-18、CysC及尿液NGAL、KIM-1水平;采取多因素Logistic回归性分析妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤的危险因素;通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险预测模型预测肾损伤的价值。结果 肾损伤组严重产后出血、肺动脉高压的患者占比高于非肾损伤组,血清IL-18、CysC及尿液NGAL、KIM-1水平高于非肾损伤组(P<0.05)。经过ROC分析,血清IL-18、CysC及尿液NGAL、KIM-1预测妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险的曲线下面积分别为0.788(95%CI:0.695~0.881)、0.733(95%CI:0.627~0.839)、0.709(95%CI:0.603~0.816)、0.815(95%CI:0.724~0.905),临界值分别为53.270 ng/L、1.370 mg/L、37.610 g/L、5.110 ng/mL,敏感性分别为0.800(95%CI:0.712~0.886)、0.600(95%CI:0.521~0.743)、0.600(95%CI:0.517~0.704)、0.825(95%CI:0.733~0.916),特异性分别为0.714(95%CI:0.622~0.837)、0.821(95%CI:0.711~0.909)、0.732(95%CI:0.656~0.841)、0.732(95%CI:0.632~0.825)。经多因素Logistic回归性分析,严重产后出血(OR=1.859,95%CI:1.181~2.926)、肺动脉高压(OR=1.934,95%CI:1.205~3.104)、IL-18≥53.270 ng/L(OR=2.947,95%CI:1.422~6.107)、CysC≥1.370 mg/L(OR=3.125,95%CI:1.508~6.476)、NGAL≥37.610 g/L(OR=2.688,95%CI:1.451~4.980)、KIM-1≥5.110 ng/mL(OR=2.727,95%CI:1.367~5.440)均是妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤的危险因素(P<0.05)。根据多因素Logistic回归分析建立妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险预测模型,Logit(P)=﹣34.437+0.620×严重产后出血+0.660×肺动脉高压+1.081×IL-18+1.139×CysC+0.989×NGAL+1.003×KIM-1,经ROC分析,妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险预测模型预测肾损伤风险的曲线下面积为0.972(95%CI:0.944~1.000),标准误:0.015,P值:0.000,敏感性:0.950(95%CI:0.841~0.993),特异性:0.929(95%CI:0.839~0.997)。结论 血清IL-18、CysC及尿液NGAL、KIM-1水平可在一定程度上反映妊娠期高血压患者肾损伤风险,建立预测模型可大大提高上述指标预测肾损伤的敏感性和特异性,预测价值更高。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the value of serum interleukin-18 (IL-18), cystatin C (CysC), urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) in predicting the risk of renal injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy. Methods Clinical data of 96 patients with pregnancy-induced hypertension admitted to our hospital from February 2022 to February 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, and the patients were divided into two groups according to whether they had kidney injury (n=40) and non-kidney injury (n=56). The clinical data of the two groups were compared, and the levels of serum IL-18, CysC and urine NGAL and KIM-1 were compared between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of kidney injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy. The value of kidney injury risk prediction model in hypertensive patients during pregnancy was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results The proportion of patients with severe postpartum hemorrhage and pulmonary hypertension in kidney injury group was higher than that in non-kidney injury group, and the levels of serum IL-18, CysC, urine NGAL and KIM-1 were higher than those in non-kidney injury group (P < 0.05). After ROC analysis, the areas under the curve of serum IL-18, CysC and urine NGAL and KIM-1 to predict the risk of renal injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy were 0.788 (95%CI: 0.695 ~ 0.881), 0.733 (95%CI: 0.627 ~ 0.839), 0.709 (95%CI: 0.603 ~ 0.816), 0.815 (95%CI: 0.724 ~ 0.905), the critical values were 53.270 ng/L, 1.370 mg/L, 37.610 g/L, 5.110 ng/mL, and the sensitivity were 0.800 (95%CI: 0.712 ~ 0.886), 0.600 (95%CI: 0.521 ~ 0.743), 0.600 (95%CI: 0.517 ~ 0.704), 0.825 (95%CI: 0.733 ~ 0.916), the specificity were 0.714 (95%CI: 0.622 ~ 0.837), 0.821 (95%CI: 0.711 ~ 0.909), 0.732 (95%CI: 0.656 ~ 0.841), 0.732 (95%CI: 0.632 ~ 0.825). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that severe postpartum hemorrhage (OR=1.859, 95%CI: 1.181-2.926), pulmonary hypertension (OR=1.934, 95%CI: 1.205 ~ 3.104), IL-18≥53.270 ng/L (OR=2.947, 95%CI: 1.422 ~ 6.107), CysC≥1.370 mg/L (OR=3.125, 95%CI: 1.508 ~ 6.476), NGAL≥37.610 g/L (OR=2.688, 95%CI: 1.451 ~ 4.980) and KIM-1≥5.110 ng/mL (OR=2.727, 95%CI: 1.367 ~ 5.440) were risk factors for renal injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy (P < 0.05). The risk prediction model of kidney injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy was established based on multivariate Logistic regression analysis. Logit (P) =-34.437+0.620× severe postpartum hemorrhage +0.660× pulmonary hypertension +1.081×IL-18+1.139×CysC+0.989×NGAL+1.003×KIM-1, by ROC analysis, the area under the curve for predicting the risk of renal injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy was 0.972 (95%CI: 0.944 ~ 1.000), standard error: 0.015, P value: 0.000, sensitivity: 0.950 (95%CI: 0.841 ~ 0.993), specificity: 0.929 (95%CI: 0.839 ~ 0.997). Conclusion Serum IL-18, CysC and urine NGAL and KIM-1 levels can reflect the risk of kidney injury in hypertensive patients during pregnancy to a certain extent. The establishment of a prediction model can greatly improve the sensitivity and specificity of the above indexes in predicting kidney injury, with higher prediction value.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-05-31
  • 最后修改日期:2023-07-20
  • 录用日期:2023-08-14
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